Super Bowl 2018 Fan Preview

Today is the day! The New England Patriots take on the Philadelphia Eagles at 6:30pm in the Super Bowl. Two of the most passionate fan bases, head to head. This blogger is rooting for the Pats and can’t wait for the last Tom vs. Time episode to drop later today on Facebook Watch.

Fans are talking about the Super Bowl across the country, preparing Philadelphia Cheesesteaks, Buffalo Chicken Dip, New England Clam Chowder, and a plethora of other dishes. Conversation about the game is across the entire country (per trendsmap) with a big cluster stretching from Boston to Philadelphia. No city is discussing the game as much as Philadelphia right now! Eagles tweets lead the Patriots so far 145k to 125k, as of 10am.

city talk

trendsmap map all

Super Bowl Pre-Game Discussion

What’s up in Philly? A lot of #flyeaglesfly talk…

philadelphia words

And Boston? Obviously, lots of #gopats, #patriots, and #notdone discussion…

boston words

Pennsylvania appears to be creating the highest proportion of tweets so far with a lot of #flyeaglesfly excitement. This includes almost 300,000 tweets in the last 24 hours. You can’t deny the excitement in the Philadelphia area! Philadelphians are talking about the game more than any other city…by far. I wonder if #heartbreakcity will be trending later?

state conversation

city conversation

Given that Philadelphia is dominating conversation of the super bowl, it is no surprise that #flyeaglesfly is the top hashtag so far. One hashtag that doesn’t appear just yet but you can see in the emojis is the “GOAT”. Let’s hope that bubbles up by the end of the night.

hashtags

emojis

Super Bowl Expectations

This year’s Super Bowl will be a close game. The combination of previous game point differentials, Patriots Super Bowl point differentials, and the defenses on both teams lead us to this conclusion. Super Bowls have been closer since the 2000s vs. the entire Super Bowl history. This chart looks at the point differential of all Super Bowls.

point differential graph

Since 1967, 14% of games have been decided by a field goal or less and 37% of games have been decided by a touchdown or less. But if we break that down further since 2000 where we can see more close games begin, 28% of games have been decided by a field goal or less and 61% of games have been decided by a touchdown or less! It will be a close game!

Per ESPN stats, Philadelphia and New England are two of the best defenses in the league in points allowed, essentially equal at 18.4 and 18.5 respectively. Things can change in individual games as we saw with the Eagles against the “best” defense in the league and the Patriots against the second best.

defense points allowed

Let the game begin! Go Pats!

 

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